Essay 题丢了 14 分,
这份指南帮你全部拿回来
你的计算题几乎完美。丢分集中在 6 道论述题——共同的问题是:写得太短、论点不够多、缺少关键术语。下面逐题拆解你的答案,并给出可以直接背的模板答案。
Discuss the statement, "Money has a time value."
If we put $100 into bank or invest the money into a safe investment, it will grow next year. So it has a time value.
你只给了一个论点(投资增长),而且没有用任何金融术语。5 分题需要你从多个角度论证"为什么"钱有时间价值——opportunity cost、inflation、risk/uncertainty、consumption preference 都是得分点。每个论点用 1-2 句展开就够了。
The statement "money has a time value" means a dollar received today is worth more than a dollar received in the future. This is one of the fundamental principles of finance, and it holds for several reasons:
Opportunity cost of capital (机会成本):Money received today can be invested immediately to earn a return. For example, $100 deposited at 5% interest becomes $105 in one year. Receiving that $100 one year later means forgoing $5 of potential earnings.
Inflation (通货膨胀):Over time, the general price level tends to rise, eroding the purchasing power of money. $100 today can buy more goods and services than $100 will buy in the future.
Risk and uncertainty (风险与不确定性):Future cash flows are inherently uncertain — there is always some probability that promised future payments may not materialise. A dollar in hand today carries no such risk.
Preference for current consumption (当前消费偏好):People generally prefer to consume now rather than later. To persuade them to defer consumption, they must be compensated — this compensation is the interest rate or required rate of return.
Because of these factors, financial analysis uses discounting and compounding to compare cash flows occurring at different points in time, converting them to a common basis (present value or future value).
Justify the historic ranking of returns: ordinary shares > long-term government bonds > short-term government bills.
In investment world, the more risk the investor take, the greator benefits they can get. Ordinary shares is the riskest investment in three categories, because it can go up and down in very short time. Long-term government bonds is more safer compared to ordinary shares, but it still contains some risk. For example, the duration is very long and interest rate risk is high. Short-term government bills is the safest option in these three categories, and it has government to back it up. It has almost no risk.
方向是对的,但缺乏金融术语和具体的风险分类。你提到了 interest rate risk(很好!),但 ordinary shares 那段只说"can go up and down",没有说具体面临哪些风险。需要引入 equity risk premium、maturity premium、default risk、systematic risk 等概念。
The historic ranking reflects a fundamental principle in finance: investors demand higher expected returns for bearing higher risk. Each step up the risk ladder introduces additional sources of risk that must be compensated:
Short-term government bills have the lowest return because they carry minimal risk. They are backed by the government (virtually no default risk), and their short maturity (typically 90 days) means they have negligible interest rate risk — their price barely fluctuates when market rates change. They represent the closest approximation to the risk-free rate.
Long-term government bonds also carry little default risk, but their longer maturity exposes them to significant interest rate risk: when market interest rates rise, bond prices fall, and this effect is amplified for longer-duration bonds. Investors therefore demand a maturity premium over short-term bills to compensate for this additional price volatility and the uncertainty of tying up capital for an extended period.
Ordinary shares bear the highest risk and therefore command the highest historical return. Shareholders face business risk (the company's operations may fail), financial risk (if the company is leveraged), and market/systematic risk (economy-wide factors affecting all equities). Unlike bondholders, shareholders are residual claimants — they are last in line in liquidation and their dividends are not guaranteed. The additional return they earn above bonds is called the equity risk premium.
Historical data consistently confirms this pattern: ordinary shares have returned approximately 7-9% per year above T-bills over the long run, while long-term bonds have returned only a modest premium over bills.
How can you reconcile the fact that whether an investor favors dividends or capital gains, the investor should accept the DDM as a determination of share value?
According to one period valuation: P₀ = DIV₁/(1+r) + P₁/(1+r). We can substitute P₁ = DIV₂/(1+r) + P₂/(1+r), and keep substituting to get P₀ = Σ DIVₙ/(1+r)ⁿ. So whether an investor favors dividends or capital gains, the present value of a share depends on dividends. Even stocks that don't pay dividends now must distribute them in the future.
在你现有答案的基础上,末尾加上这段论述:
Furthermore, the expected rate of return can be decomposed into two components:
An investor who prefers capital gains earns their return primarily through the share price appreciation (the g component). But the price appreciation itself is driven by the market's expectation of higher future dividends — if expected future dividends were zero, the share price would be zero, and there could be no capital gain. Therefore, even for a capital-gains-oriented investor, the value they capture when selling the share to the next investor ultimately traces back to the present value of the dividend stream that the next buyer expects to receive.
In other words, capital gains are not an independent source of value — they are simply the repackaging of future dividends into today's price change. This is why the DDM is valid regardless of investor preference.
Why is it important to use market values rather than book values when determining the weighted-average cost of capital?
Because we need to calculate the current value of WACC instead of old value. Book value is old value, it is fixed when a company bought something or sold something. If we use book value, equity will only reflect old percentage in total Capital Value. The same thing goes to Debt.
WACC 的目的是衡量当前的融资成本 (forward-looking cost):WACC is used as a discount rate for evaluating future investment projects. It must therefore reflect the company's current cost of raising capital, not what the company paid historically. Market values capture what investors are actually willing to pay for the company's debt and equity right now.
Book values 是 historical cost (历史成本):Book value of equity reflects the original amount shareholders invested, adjusted for retained earnings and accounting policies. It does not reflect changes in business performance, market conditions, or risk perceptions since that time. A company's equity might have a book value of $10 million but a market value of $100 million — using book value would massively overweight debt in the WACC calculation.
D/V 和 E/V 必须反映真实的资本结构 (actual capital structure):The weights in WACC (D/V and E/V) should represent the proportions in which the company would actually raise new financing. Market values better approximate these proportions because they reflect the opportunity cost to investors — what they could receive by selling their claims today.
与 CAPM 的一致性 (consistency with CAPM):The cost of equity derived from CAPM is based on market data (share price, market returns). Using book-value weights alongside a market-derived cost of equity would create an internal inconsistency in the WACC calculation.
The use of NPV as an investment criterion is said to be more reliable than using IRR. Explain why.
NPV can tell us how much money we will earn with this investment. But IRR can only tell us the rate of return when NPV = 0. Let's say project A's IRR is 30% but we can only invest 1 million, and project B's IRR is only 20% but we can invest 1 billion. Even though A's IRR is higher, we should invest B. So IRR alone is not useful and reliable compared to NPV.
Scale 的例子很到位,可以保留。但你需要补充 IRR 的其他缺陷。每个缺陷用 1-2 句话说清楚就行。
NPV is considered a more reliable investment criterion than IRR for several reasons:
NPV directly measures value creation (直接衡量价值创造):NPV tells us the absolute dollar amount by which a project increases shareholder wealth. IRR only provides a percentage return and does not indicate the scale of value created. A small project with a high IRR may create far less value than a larger project with a lower IRR. [这就是你写的 scale argument,保留即可]
Multiple IRR problem (多重 IRR 问题):When a project has non-conventional cash flows (e.g., alternating positive and negative cash flows), the IRR equation can produce multiple solutions, making it impossible to determine which one is the "correct" rate of return. NPV does not suffer from this problem — it always produces a single, unambiguous value.
Reinvestment rate assumption (再投资率假设):IRR implicitly assumes that interim cash flows are reinvested at the IRR itself, which is often unrealistically high. NPV assumes reinvestment at the cost of capital (the discount rate), which is a more realistic and conservative assumption.
Mutually exclusive projects (互斥项目):When comparing two mutually exclusive projects, the one with the higher IRR is not necessarily the better choice. NPV correctly identifies the project that maximises shareholder wealth by accounting for both scale and the timing of cash flows.
Explain the main risks of pricing ABBA's rights issue at only a 17.5% discount to the preceding close price.
Wait. 17.5% discount? The question says it's 35.25% discount.
...
The discount is not that big, so the price may fell during the next few days, and if the share's price fell below the subscription price, nobody would want to buy these shares any more. And the underwriter may require more underwriting fees because the risk is high for them.
你的两个风险点(价格跌穿、承销费增加)其实是对的!但你在答案里写了困惑的注释("Wait. 17.5%?"),这会让 marker 怀疑你没理解题意。而且 8 分题只写了两个点远远不够。以下是完整的模板答案:
A 17.5% discount to the preceding close is relatively shallow compared to the actual 35.25% discount chosen by ABBA. A smaller discount introduces several significant risks:
价格跌穿认购价的风险 — Rights become "underwater":A 17.5% discount means the subscription price is set close to the current market price ($2.78 × (1−0.175) ≈ $2.29). If the share price declines by more than 17.5% during the offer period — due to market-wide movements or negative reactions to the dilution — the subscription price will exceed the market price, making the rights worthless. Shareholders would simply buy shares cheaper on the open market.
认购率低 — Low take-up rate:With a narrower margin of safety, shareholders are less motivated to exercise their rights. The financial benefit of exercising (the "value of the right") is smaller with a shallow discount, so shareholders — particularly those facing liquidity constraints — may choose to let their rights lapse rather than investing additional capital for a marginal gain.
承销成本增加 — Higher underwriting costs:The underwriter bears the risk of purchasing any shares not taken up by existing shareholders. A shallower discount increases the probability that the issue will be undersubscribed, which raises the underwriter's risk exposure. Consequently, the underwriter will demand a higher fee, increasing the total cost of the capital raise for ABBA.
融资目标可能失败 — Risk of failing to raise target capital:If significant numbers of shareholders do not exercise or sell their rights, and the underwriter is exposed to large volumes, the rights issue may fail to raise the full $360,000 needed for ABBA's new investments. This could force the company to seek alternative, potentially more expensive financing, or delay its investment plans.
市场信号负面 — Negative signalling:A shallow discount may signal to the market that management is either overconfident about the share price stability or unwilling to offer shareholders an attractive deal. This can create negative market sentiment, potentially putting further downward pressure on the share price during the offer period — exacerbating risk ①.
Essay 答题模板
你的计算能力很强,丢分全在 essay 题。下面是一个通用的答题框架,考试时套用即可:
Step-by-Step 模板(适用于所有 "explain / discuss / justify" 题)
定义 / 总述:先用一句话回答问题的核心。例如"NPV is more reliable because it directly measures value creation in dollar terms."
分点论证:每个论点格式为 术语 → 解释 → 例子/对比。5 分题至少 3 个论点,8 分题至少 4-5 个。
总结/收尾:用一句话呼应开头。不需要很长,但能让答案有完整感。
分数估算法则:每个有效论点(含术语+解释)≈ 1-1.5 分。一个 5 分题需要 3-4 个论点,8 分题需要 5-6 个。
✅ 得分要素
使用金融术语(equity risk premium, maturity premium, systematic risk 等),给具体的例子或数字,每个论点展开 1-2 句。
❌ 丢分模式
只写 1-2 句话就结束、不用术语("can go up and down")、重复同一个论点的不同说法、在答案中写困惑注释。
2024 Paper 常见陷阱清单
根据你这份试卷暴露的问题,考试当天需要特别注意的陷阱:
🔴 re ≠ WACC
算完 CAPM 得到 re 之后,必须代入 WACC 公式。re 只是 equity 的成本,不是公司整体的资本成本。这次改对了,考试别再犯。
🔴 Discount to TERP
公式:(TERP − S) / TERP,不是 (C − TERP) / C。前者是认购价相对于理论除权价的折扣,后者是股价稀释幅度。
🟡 审题:假设性问题
如 Q19 问的是 "如果折扣只有 17.5%"——不要困惑于题目数字和前文不一致,直接按假设回答。永远不要在答案里写 "Wait, this doesn't match"。
🟡 "By how much"
算完两个值之后,如果题目问 "by how much does it change",必须算出差额并明确写出。不要让 marker 自己做减法。
🟢 Pull-to-Par
Discount bond(coupon < YTM)的价格会随时间向面值靠拢。如果题目问"为什么1年后价格更高了",这就是答案。
🟢 Essay 字数
5 分题 ≈ 100-150 词,8 分题 ≈ 200-250 词。你的 Q2 只有 30 词,远低于预期。字数不是目的,但论点数量和字数高度相关。